Skyline Champion Quarter Ending 7.1.2023 Results – CEO Yost – ‘Navigating Current Environment-Shifts in Demand’ Net Income Falls 56% – 1Q Fiscal 2024 Results; ‘Project Hat Trick’-Facts and Analysis

SkylineChampionQuarterEnding7.1.2023ResultsCEO-MarkYostNavigatingCurrentEnvironmentShiftsInDemandNetIncomeFalls56%1QFiscal2024ResultsProjectHatTrickFactsAndAnalysisMHProNews

Oxford Languages defines the phrase “hat trick” as “three successes of the same kind, especially consecutive ones within a limited period.” What Skyline Champion referred to internally as “Project Hat Trick” will be revealed in Part II of this report and analysis. That noted, there are several valid questions that ought to be raised by prior and recent claims made by Skyline Champion (SKY) and its leadership in their remarks to shareholders and stakeholders. Quarterly reports are by their nature packed with facts. This report by Skyline Champion was issued prior to their remarks made as a result of their announced deal with ECN Capital to establish a ‘captive’ finance company with Triad Financial Services (TFS). Those remarks and more are linked from Part II of this report, analysis and expert commentary. Part I of this report was released to the media and public by Skyline Champion via Business Wire, a Berkshire Hathaway (BRK) owned brand. Berkshire Hathaway also owns Clayton Homes, 21st Mortgage Corporation, and Vanderbilt Mortgage and Finance (VMF) companies. It is worth noting that Berkshire recently revealed their increased investments into conventional housing production.

 

Warren Buffett led Berkshire Hathaway ’Fat Finger’ Other Exits and Buys Included Conventional Builders – Truth Hiding in Plain Sight Facts-Analysis, What to Know; plus MHVille Stock Updates

Part I

Skyline Champion Announces First Quarter Fiscal 2024 Results

August 01, 2023

TROY, Mich.–(BUSINESS WIRE)– Skyline Champion Corporation (NYSE: SKY) (“Skyline Champion”) today announced financial results for its first quarter ended July 1, 2023 (“fiscal 2024”).

First Quarter Fiscal 2024 Highlights (compared to First Quarter Fiscal 2023)

  • Net sales decreased 36.0% to $464.8 million
  • U.S. homes sold decreased 29.3% to 4,817
  • Total backlog decreased 15.7% to $260 million from the sequential fourth quarter
  • Average selling price (“ASP”) per U.S. home sold decreased 8.2% to $89,000
  • Gross profit margin contracted by 370 basis points to 27.9%
  • Net income decreased by 56.2% to $51.3 million
  • Earnings per share (“EPS”) decreased 56.4% to $0.89
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased 58.9% to $66.8 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin contracted by 800 basis points to 14.4%
  • Net cash generated by operating activities of $74.9 million during the quarter

Skyline Champion’s results for the first quarter of fiscal 2024 met expectations, reflecting continued execution on our operational initiatives as we navigate the current environment and shifts in demand” said Mark Yost, Skyline Champion’s President, and Chief Executive Officer. “On a sequential basis we are seeing orders increase and backlogs return to historically normal levels, while managing production to align with current demand trends. Skyline Champion continues to drive our strategic initiatives to transform homebuilding, generating value for shareholders now and in years to come.”

First Quarter Fiscal 2024 Results

Net sales for the first quarter fiscal 2024 decreased 36.0% to $464.8 million compared to the prior-year period. The number of U.S. homes sold in the first quarter fiscal 2024 decreased 29.3% to 4,817. Volume levels during the quarter were adversely impacted by the timing of community orders and the absence of FEMA-related sales which totaled $82.5 million in the first quarter of last year. The ASP per U.S. home sold decreased 8.2% to $89,000 due to the impact of product mix and the decrease in material surcharges. The number of Canadian factory-built homes sold in the quarter decreased to 221 homes compared to 352 homes in the prior-year period due to softening demand in certain markets.

Gross profit decreased by 43.5% to $129.7 million in the first quarter fiscal 2024 compared to the prior-year period. Gross profit margin was 27.9% of net sales, a 370-basis point contraction compared to 31.6% in the first quarter fiscal 2023. Gross margin contraction is being driven by lower volumes and changes in product mix including the absence of FEMA unit sales versus last year’s first quarter. Improvements in operational capabilities helped maintain the margin profile on a sequential basis despite lower production rates and consumer shifts to smaller less optioned homes.

Selling, general, and administrative expenses (“SG&A”) in the first quarter fiscal 2024 decreased to $70.4 million from $72.3 million in the same period last year. SG&A as a percentage of net sales was 15.2%, compared to 10.0% in the prior year period. SG&A during the quarter reflects lower sales volumes and variable compensation, partially offset by expenses related to acquisitions closed in fiscal 2023 and investments in new capacity.

Net income decreased by 56.2% to $51.3 million for the first quarter fiscal 2024 compared to the prior-year period. The decrease in net income was driven by lower sales in the quarter.

Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter fiscal 2024 decreased by 58.9% to $66.8 million compared to the first quarter fiscal 2023. Adjusted EBITDA margin for the quarter was 14.4%, compared to 22.4% in the prior-year period.

As of July 1, 2023, Skyline Champion had $797.7 million of cash and cash equivalents, an increase of $50.3 million in the current quarter.

Conference Call and Webcast Information:

Skyline Champion management will host a conference call tomorrow, August 2, 2023, at 9:00 a.m. Eastern Time, to discuss Skyline Champion’s financial results and an update on current operations.

Investors and other interested parties can listen to a webcast of the live conference call by logging onto the Investor Relations section of Skyline Champion’s website at skylinechampion.com. The online replay will be available on the same website immediately following the call.

The conference call can also be accessed by dialing (877) 407-4018 (domestic) or (201) 689-8471 (international). A telephonic replay will be available approximately two hours after the call by dialing (844) 512-2921, or for international callers, (412) 317-6671. The passcode for the live call and the replay is 13739924. The replay will be available until 11:59 P.M. Eastern Time on August 16, 2023.

About Skyline Champion Corporation:

Skyline Champion Corporation (NYSE: SKY) is a leading producer of factory-built housing in North America and employs approximately 7,600 people. With more than 70 years of homebuilding experience and 44 manufacturing facilities throughout the United States and western Canada, Skyline Champion is well positioned with an innovative portfolio of manufactured and modular homes, ADUs, park-models and modular buildings for the single-family, multi-family, and hospitality sectors.

In addition to its core home building business, Skyline Champion provides construction services to install and set-up factory-built homes, operates a factory-direct retail business with 31 retail locations across the United States, and operates Star Fleet Trucking, providing transportation services to the manufactured housing and other industries from several dispatch locations across the United States.

Skyline Champion builds homes under some of the most well-known brand names in the factory-built housing industry including Skyline Homes, Champion Home Builders, Genesis Homes, Athens Park Models, Dutch Housing, Atlantic Homes, Excel Homes, Homes of Merit, New Era, Redman Homes, ScotBilt Homes, Shore Park, Silvercrest, Titan Homes in the U.S. and Moduline and SRI Homes in western Canada.

Presentation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

In addition to the results provided in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“U.S. GAAP”) throughout this press release, Skyline Champion has provided non-GAAP financial measures, Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Margin, which present operating results on a basis adjusted for certain items. Skyline Champion uses these non-GAAP financial measures for business planning purposes and in measuring its performance relative to that of its competitors. Skyline Champion believes that these non-GAAP financial measures are useful financial metrics to assess its operating performance from period-to-period by excluding certain items that Skyline Champion believes are not representative of its core business. These non-GAAP financial measures are not intended to replace, and should not be considered superior to, the presentation of Skyline Champion’s financial results in accordance with U.S. GAAP.

Skyline Champion defines Adjusted EBITDA as net income or loss plus expenses or minus income, (a) the provision for income taxes, (b) interest income or expense, net, (c) depreciation and amortization, (d) gain or loss from discontinued operations, (e) non-cash restructuring charges and impairment of assets, (f) other non-operating income and costs, including but not limited to those costs for the acquisition and integration or disposition of businesses and idle facilities. Adjusted EBITDA is not a measure of earnings calculated in accordance with U.S. GAAP, and should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than, net income or loss, net sales, operating income or earnings per share prepared on a U.S. GAAP basis. Adjusted EBITDA does not purport to represent cash flow provided by, or used in, operating activities as defined by U.S. GAAP. Skyline Champion believes that Adjusted EBITDA is commonly used by investors to evaluate its performance and that of its competitors. However, Skyline Champion’s use of Adjusted EBITDA may vary from that of others in its industry. Adjusted EBITDA is reconciled from the respective measure under U.S. GAAP in the tables below. Adjusted EBITDA Margin is calculated as Adjusted EBITDA divided by net sales reported in the statement of operations.

Forward-Looking Statements

Statements in this press release, including certain statements regarding Skyline Champion’s strategic initiatives, and future market demand are intended to be covered by the safe harbor for “forward-looking statements” provided by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements generally can be identified by use of words such as “believe,” “expect,” “future,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “plan,” “foresee,” “may,” “could,” “should,” “will,” “potential,” “continue,” or other similar words or phrases. Similarly, statements that describe objectives, plans, or goals also are forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, many of which are difficult to predict and are generally beyond the control of Skyline Champion. We caution readers that a number of important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in, implied, or projected by such forward-looking statements. Risks and uncertainties include regional, national and international economic, financial, public health and labor conditions, and the following: supply-related issues, including prices and availability of materials; labor-related issues; inflationary pressures in the North American economy; the cyclicality and seasonality of the housing industry and its sensitivity to changes in general economic or other business conditions; demand fluctuations in the housing industry, including as a result of actual or anticipated increases in homeowner borrowing rates; the possible unavailability of additional capital when needed; competition and competitive pressures; changes in consumer preferences for our products or our failure to gauge those preferences; quality problems, including the quality of parts sourced from suppliers and related liability and reputational issues; data security breaches, cybersecurity attacks, and other information technology disruptions; the potential disruption of operations caused by the conversion to new information systems; the extensive regulation affecting the production and sale of factory-built housing and the effects of possible changes in laws with which we must comply; the potential impact of natural disasters on sales and raw material costs; the risks associated with mergers and acquisitions, including integration of operations and information systems; periodic inventory adjustments by, and changes to relationships with, independent retailers; changes in interest and foreign exchange rates; insurance coverage and cost issues; the possibility that all or part of our intangible assets, including goodwill, might become impaired; the possibility that our risk management practices may leave us exposed to unidentified or unanticipated risks; the potential disruption to our business caused by public health issues, such as an epidemic or pandemic, and resulting government actions; and other risks set forth in the “Risk Factors” section, the “Legal Proceedings” section, the “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” section, and other sections, as applicable, in our Annual Reports on Form 10-K, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended April 1, 2023 previously filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), as well as in our Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, and Current Reports on Form 8-K, filed with or furnished to the SEC.

If any of these risks or uncertainties materializes or if any of the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements proves to be incorrect, then the developments and future events concerning Skyline Champion set forth in this press release may differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these statements, which speak only as of the date of this release. We anticipate that subsequent events and developments will cause our expectations and beliefs to change. Skyline Champion assumes no obligation to update such forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this document or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events, unless obligated to do so under the federal securities laws.

SKYLINE CHAMPION CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

(Unaudited, dollars and shares in thousands)

July 1,
2023
April 1,
2023
(unaudited)
ASSETS
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents $ 797,717 $ 747,453
Trade accounts receivable, net 50,678 67,296
Inventories, net 196,510 202,238
Other current assets 34,123 26,479
Total current assets 1,079,028 1,043,466
Long-term assets:
Property, plant, and equipment, net 184,259 177,125
Goodwill 196,574 196,574
Amortizable intangible assets, net 42,383 45,343
Deferred tax assets 18,746 17,422
Other noncurrent assets 96,669 82,794
Total assets $ 1,617,659 $ 1,562,724
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
Current liabilities:
Accounts payable $ 47,218 $ 44,702
Other current liabilities 198,726 204,215
Total current liabilities 245,944 248,917
Long-term liabilities:
Long-term debt 12,430 12,430
Deferred tax liabilities 6,305 5,964
Other liabilities 62,059 62,412
Total long-term liabilities 80,794 80,806
Stockholders’ Equity:
Common stock, $0.0277 par value, 115,000 shares authorized, 57,133 and

57,108 shares issued as of July 1, 2023 and April 1, 2023, respectively

1,586 1,585
Additional paid-in capital 524,907 519,479
Retained earnings 775,980 725,672
Accumulated other comprehensive loss (11,552 ) (13,735 )
Total stockholders’ equity 1,290,921 1,233,001
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity $ 1,617,659 $ 1,562,724

 

SKYLINE CHAMPION CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

(Unaudited, dollars and shares in thousands, except per share amounts)

Three months ended
July 1,
2023
July 2,
2022
Net sales $ 464,769 $ 725,881
Cost of sales 335,096 496,546
Gross profit 129,673 229,335
Selling, general, and administrative expenses 70,439 72,282
Operating income 59,234 157,053
Interest (income) expense, net (9,301 ) 90
Other (income) (634 )
Income before income taxes 68,535 157,597
Income tax expense 17,266 40,446
Net income $ 51,269 $ 117,151
Net income per share:
Basic $ 0.90 $ 2.06
Diluted $ 0.89 $ 2.04

 

SKYLINE CHAMPION CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

(Unaudited, dollars in thousand)

Three months ended
July 1,
2023
July 2,
2022
Cash flows from operating activities
Net income $ 51,269 $ 117,151
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
Depreciation and amortization 7,592 5,616
Amortization of deferred financing fees 69 95
Equity-based compensation 5,428 3,960
Deferred taxes (997 ) 1,685
Loss on disposal of property, plant, and equipment 1 6
Foreign currency transaction (gain) loss (207 ) 351
Change in assets and liabilities:
Accounts receivable 16,676 (38,141 )
Inventories 6,173 (48,855 )
Other assets (6,974 ) (11,084 )
Accounts payable 1,375 (15,931 )
Accrued expenses and other liabilities (5,548 ) 32,569
Net cash provided by operating activities 74,857 47,422
Cash flows from investing activities
Additions to property, plant, and equipment (10,341 ) (9,435 )
Investment in floor plan loans (18,466 )
Proceeds from floor plan loans 3,184
Acquisitions, net of cash acquired (9,553 )
Proceeds from disposal of property, plant, and equipment 8 17
Net cash used in investing activities (25,615 ) (18,971 )
Cash flows from financing activities
Changes in floor plan financing, net 2,398
Stock option exercises 9
Tax payments for equity-based compensation (961 ) (351 )
Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities (961 ) 2,056
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents 1,983 (2,142 )
Net increase in cash and cash equivalents 50,264 28,365
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period 747,453 435,413
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period $ 797,717 $ 463,778

 

SKYLINE CHAMPION CORPORATION

RECONCILIATION OF NET INCOME TO ADJUSTED EBITDA

(Unaudited, dollars in thousand)

Three Months Ended
July 1,
2023
July 2,
2022
Net income $ 51,269 $ 117,151
Income tax expense 17,266 40,446
Interest (income) expense, net (9,301 ) 90
Depreciation and amortization 7,592 5,616
EBITDA 66,826 163,303
Transaction costs 338
Other (973 )
Adjusted EBITDA $ 66,826 $ 162,668

 

Part II – Additional Information with More MHProNews Analysis and Commentary

Stating the obvious can be clarifying. Asking the obvious can also be clarifying. Having institutional and professional member is routinely useful for trade media, perhaps most notably for MHProNews.

On 8.28.2023 MHProNews asked Bing’s AI chat function the following question: “What is Skyline Champion Corporation’s (SKY) Project Hat Trick?” Here was the response.

BingsAIchatAnswerImage-MHProNews“Skyline Champion Corporation is a company that was created by the merger of Skyline Corporation and Champion Enterprises Holdings, LLC. The merger was announced on June 1, 2018 and the combined company began trading on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “SKY” on June 4, 20181. I couldn’t find any information about Project Hat Trick. Can you provide more details about it?”

The response given to that same inquiry by the Bing search engine yielded the following as the #1 result on this date and time a report on MHProNews, but candidly that report didn’t mention Skyline Champion’s “Project Hat Trick.” That project – an internal designation by the firm – is attached as a download at this link here. Now the question ought to be asked and answered, why the name, Project Hat Trick? As the Bing AI inquiry reflects, there is at this time no known public response to that question from Skyline officials.

That noted, the following is at least curious. Or it may reflect something more significant.

From the Skyline Champion (SKY) website MHProNews accessed the following file on 8.28.2023 at about 3:55 AM. SKY referred to this investor relations presentation as Project Hat Trick. A hat trick is a term used in ice hockey. “A “hat trick” in hockey occurs when a player scores three goals in a single game,” says TheSportsGround. The FreeDictionary says of the phrase in a non-sports usage that a hat trick is: “An extremely clever or adroit maneuver.” Merriam Webster says: a hat trick is “a series of three victories, successes, or related accomplishments.”

 

Note: to expand this image to a larger or full size, see the instructions
below the graphic below or click the image and follow the prompts.

SkylineChampionOperationHatTrickSearchResultObtainedbyMHProNews
https://www.manufacturedhomepronews.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/Skyline-Champion-Project-Hat-Trick-Investor-Presentation-002-ECN-Capital-Triad-Financial-Services-MHProNews.pdf Note: depending on your browser or device, many images in this report and others on MHProNews can be clicked to expand. Click the image and follow the prompts. For example, in some browsers/devices you click the image and select ‘open in a new window.’ After clicking that selection you click the image in the open window to expand the image to a larger size. To return to this page, use your back key, escape or follow the prompts.

 

In the case of Cavco Industries, detail minded MHProNews readers may recall that Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) attorneys made it publicly known that during the tenure of that firm’s former executive Joseph “Joe” Stegmayer, they used such colorful names in what the SEC alleged were violations of securities laws and regulations.  Cavco and Stegmayer each settled for over a 7-figure dollar amount after protracted negotiations and maneuvers.  That doesn’t necessarily imply that this matter is illegal. But it is at lease curious. There was an indication that a whistleblower payout occurred in the Cavco-Stegmayer matter. One Skyline Champion manager was named by the SEC in that case (see first linked report).

 

NewCavcoIndustriesLogo2021SecuritiesExchComLogoMastProjectSaturnCodeNameMonarchSECvCavcoStegmayerUrnessCavcoUMH-NOBH-DVLY-SkylineChampSKYmonopoolySchemeManufacturedHousingInst
https://www.manufacturedhomepronews.com/masthead/project-saturn-code-name-monarch-sec-v-cavco-stegmayer-et-al-federal-suit-revelations-about-cavco-skyline-champion-other-manufactured-housing-brands-apparen/

 

WhistleblowerPayoutCavcoIndustriesSettleWithSECinSecuritiesAndExchangeCommissionCaseVsCavcoCVCOformerCEOJosephStegmayerDanielUrness21-cv-01507WilliamBillBoorMHProNews1
https://www.manufacturedhomepronews.com/whistleblower-payout-cavco-cvco-settle-with-sec-in-securities-and-exchange-commission-case-vs-cavco-former-ceo-joseph-stegmayer-daniel-urness-21-cv-01507-u-s-district-court-of-az/

 

That noted, the manufactured home industry is demonstrably underperforming.

So too arguably is Skyline Champion (SKY).

Recent U.S. Census Bureau data reflects that conventional housing at the time of the report linked below was up 20 percent year-over-year (YoY).  Meanwhile, manufacutred housing, per the latest data, is down sharply, at a similar rate as Skyline Champion.

 

Conv Housing Up 20%+ YoY But Manufactured Homes Drop Sharply–HUD-Census Bureau New Single Family Sales June 2023 vs NTL, State-by-State Manufactured Housing Data-The MOAT; plus MHMarkets Update

Manufactured Housing Production-Shipment Data for All 50 States – Compare and Contrast MHI’s and MHARR’s Remarks About the Most Recent National Manufactured Home Data; plus MHStocks Update

 

As was noted above, Skyline Champion recently closed a deal with ECN Capital to establish a captive finance division in connection with what has long been the largest independent lender in manufactured housing that was not owned by Berkshire, as are 21st and VMF.

 

More ECN Capital-Skyline Champion Deal with New Triad President Lance Hull Remarks – is Claytonization of Largest Independent Manufactured Home Lender Triad Financial Services Underway?

 

Reactions to the Skyline Champion- Triad-ECN deal above from industry insiders are found in the report linked below.

 

‘May Chill MH Market’ ‘Possible Danger’ in Finance per MHI Linked Sources – Skyline Champion-ECN Capital Announce Strategic Triad Deal – Facts and Analysis beyond PR; plus MHVille Markets Update

 

There has been a recent change in the handling of certain information by Skyline Champion and others which may or may not be revealed by MHProNews in the near term.  That could be part of a future report.

For now, this report’s analysis will mention some additional points, including insights from third parties. In no particular order of importance.

  1. Per Yahoo Finance, the overall trend for Skyline Champion has been lower for much of the past two years. This is odd at best, given the affordable housing crisis and the seemingly positive potential that ought to exist for the manufactured housing industry. See the graphic below.
SkylineChampionStockTrendGraphicperYahooFinance2023-08-28_04-44-34LogosManufacturedHousingManufacturedHomeMHProNews
Investors/the market initially had a favorable response to the deal announced on 8.14.2023 between Skyline Champion – ECN Capital/Triad Financial Services to form a captive finance company. But investors have clearly cooled on the idea.

2. A recent commentary on Skyline Champion by Caffital Research was published on the Seeking Alpha financial news site.  It had the following top lines summary.

QuoteMarksLeftSideSummary

  • Skyline Champion Corporation is facing deteriorating earnings due to a slowdown in the real estate market after an inflated modular home market related to Covid.
  • Analysts have a moderate upside outlook for the stock, but a discounted cash flow model suggests an estimated fair value of $45.09, indicating a potential downside for SKY stock.
  • As investors currently have low visibility into Skyline’s future margins and growth, I believe investors should be conservative in evaluating the company.

MHProNews will note the incorrect use of the term “modular” above, given that Skyline Champion has per their own statements. FWIW, Caffital’s analyst referred to in the graphic below. Perhaps the analyst isn’t completely clear that HUD Code means manufactured homes? Whatever the case may be on grasping the terminology and related, the following image was in Caffital’s analysis.

CaffitalResearchSkylineChampionSKY-FactoryBuiltHousingMarketSharesBySegmentHUDCodeManufacturedHomes-ModularHomes-ParkModelHomes-MHProNews

 

Right or wrong, the analyst via popular Seeking Alpha said the following.

QuoteMarksLeftSideAs the company is facing harder times with the slowdown in the real estate market after an inflated modular home market related to Covid, the company’s earnings are beginning to deteriorate. In my opinion the company’s deteriorating earnings aren’t completely priced into the stock, constituting a sell-rating.”

 

Their analysis also said the following.

 

QuoteMarksLeftSideAs housing prices have soared in recent years, Skyline has seen a great increase in demand in FY22 and FY23 – in FY22 the company’s revenues grew by 55% with a further increase of 18% in FY23. These increases have turned into decreasing revenues in the most recent quarters as consumers’ purchasing power and the real estate market have seen cooldowns – in Q1 of FY24, Skyline’s revenues shrunk by 36%, with similar decreases expected in the coming quarters.”

 

SkyliQuoteMarksLeftSidene has a cash balance of almost $800 million, with outstanding interest-bearing debts of only around $12 million in long-term debt; the company’s balance sheet doesn’t pose any risks to the company’s operations. The company does not currently pay out any dividends, leaving investors wondering where the cash balance is going to be allocated. Skyline’s capital expenditures also seem to be low compared to the company’s market capitalization of around $3.7 billion, as the company’s trailing capital expenditures are only $53.2 million – the cash balance could leave room for sizable M&A activity.”

 

QuoteMarksLeftSideFor the time being, I still have a conservative approach to the valuation.
Takeaway

At $64.81 a share, I believe the company’s currently deteriorating bottom line poses a risk for investors. Although Skyline could be a good investment given that the company implements business strategies well, I currently have a sell-rating given my DCF model’s estimated downside of 30%.”

 

If Caffital Research was alone in this type of down-trend thinking about Skyline Champion, perhaps the firm’s leadership could shrug it off. But the Yahoo Finance graphic above makes it clear that other investors aren’t bullish, they are “bearish” too.

 

3.  Prior MHProNews reports relative to Skyline Champion are linked below.

 

1000sUnhappyWorkingAtClaytonHomesSkylineChampionCavcoIndustriesSunSUI.ELS.RHP-FlagshipImpactYes!HavenparkCommunitiesWhatWillTheyDoFactsWalkOutThreatOpEdPlusMHMarketsUpdateMHProNews
https://www.manufacturedhomepronews.com/1000s-unhappy-working-at-clayton-homes-skyline-champion-cavco-sun-els-rhp-flagship-impact-yes-havenpark-communities-what-will-they-do-facts-walkout-threat-op-ed-plus-mhmarkets-update/
CEOmarkYostSkylineChampionInsidersSELLmillion$ValueSKYstockHomeSalesDrop4thQ2022-3QFiscal2023OfficialResult$FactsAnalysisInfoBeyondPRplusMHVilleStocksUpdateMHProNews
https://www.manufacturedhomepronews.com/ceo-mark-yost-skyline-champion-insiders-sell-million-value-sky-stock-home-sales-drop-4th-q-2022-3qfiscal2023-official-result-facts-analysis-info-beyond-pr-plus-mhville-stocks-update/

Skyline Champion (SKY) Ramping Up 3 Plants, Good Credit Quality Retail Buyers, More Details from 2023 Quarterly Earnings Call Transcript – What’s Said, Not Said – Facts and Analysis

SamuelStrommenQuoteMonopolisticHousingInstituteLogoBig3ClaytonHomesSkylineChampionCavcoIndustriesSunELS-ImpactHavenparkRHPFlagshipMHLivingNewsEIN
Strommen on Manufactured Housing Institute Quote: MHI Mouthpiece of Big 3 Restraint of Trade Should Not Get NOERR protection. Strommen pointed out specifically concerns that Skyline Champion appeared to be giving Clayton Homes cover for their actual market share. See the report linked below and also the graphic that immediately follows. https://www.manufacturedhomelivingnews.com/strommen-felony-conspiracy-case-monopolization-of-affordable-manufactured-housing-and-manufactured-home-communities-rube-goldberg-machine-of-human-suff/

 

ClaytonHomesLogoSkylineChampionLogoCavcoIndustriesLogoMarketShare2018ManufacturedHousingProNews
This is a hard statement to defend. Per our sources, Skyline Champion buys this data and should have known that what they published here was wrong. That suggests that for some reason, Skyline-Champion and Clayton have worked to understate Clayton’s market share to the industry, potential investors, and presumably public officials.

 

There should be significant concerns by manufactured housing political nuance wise investors about Skyline Champion, the industry’s other two “big three” HUD Code home builders and the Manufactured Housing Institute.  See the reports linked below for insights.

 

MarkWeissJDPresidentCEO-ManufacturedHousingAssociationRegulatoryReformMHARRPicLogoInexcusableMajorProblemExclusiveQAMarkWeissJDpresCEO-MHARR-MHLivingNews
https://www.manufacturedhomelivingnews.com/inexcusable-and-major-problem-exclusive-mhlivingnews-question-and-answer-qa-with-mark-weiss-j-d-president-and-ceo-of-manufactured-housing-association-for-regulatory-reform-mharr/

 

H.R. 5198 – Expansion of Attainable Homeownership Through Manufactured Housing Act of 2023 – Manufactured Housing Institute Supported Bill Explored; plus Sunday Weekly MHVille Headlines Recap

 

See the remarks by MHARR’s Danny Ghorbani in the above.

MHProNews’ leadership has a strong belief in the industry true upside potential. However, it seems apparent that the corporate insiders who dominate MHI have something entirely different in mind. What is that difference? They appear to be more focused on steady consolidation rather than on organic growth.

One of the more popular – and arguably important – reports in recent months is the following.

 

LongtimeMHRetailSalesManagerAsksManufacturedHomeLeadersWhyAreManufacturedHousingProductionLevelsTodayAboutHalfof1980sWhenInterestRatesHit20.5%APRonARMLoansMHProNews
https://www.manufacturedhomepronews.com/longtime-mh-retail-sales-manager-asks-manufactured-home-leaders-why-are-manufactured-housing-production-levels-today-about-half-of-1980s-when-interest-rates-hit-20-5-apr-on-arm-loans/

 

When Caffital Research said: “At $64.81 a share, I believe the company’s currently deteriorating bottom line poses a risk for investors. Although Skyline could be a good investment given that the company implements business strategies well, I currently have a sell-rating given my DCF model’s estimated downside of 30%” haven’t they made some significant remarks that are shared in some way by other investors?

 

 

WhiteCollarCrimesLegalTipsResearchNationalManufacturedHousingFederation1000sRetailersCommunitiesLostRoadmapSolveMHIndustryConsumerIndependentBusinessWoesMHMarketsUpdateMHProNews
https://www.manufacturedhomepronews.com/white-collar-crimes-legal-tips-research-national-manufactured-housing-federation-1000s-of-retailers-communities-lost-roadmap-to-solve-mhindustry-consumer-independent-business-woes/

 

As MHProNews noted last week and previously, there are several possible strategies that a firm like Skyline, or Cavco for that matter, could and should deploy if they were serious about organic corporate and industry growth. But instead, Skyline appears to be deploying a “moat” move. Is it any wonder that several of those contacted for comments about the SKY-Triad deal expressed concerns about it? Recall that one high-level source told MHProNews that the move may ‘chill the market.’ After an initial bump, SKY’s stock has indeed ‘chilled’ or moved lower.

But this isn’t just a concern for investors of Skyline Champion. It ought to be a cautionary flag for independents in manufactured housing too.  The fact that MHI’s CEO Lesli Gooch, Ph.D., keeps repeatedly making questionable at best, or possibly corrupt at worst statements and moves on behalf of ‘the industry’ is itself a red flag. Skyline CEO Mark Yost has a seat on the MHI board. There is no known indication that he is concerned about Gooch.

 

‘What Really Matters?’ The Aggrandizement of Madam, CEO, Dr. Lesli Gooch, Ph.D. – Almost a Woman of Influence Two Years Running; plus Sunday Weekly Manufactured Housing Industry Headlines Review

 

LesliGoochMarkBowersoxRickRobinsonRichardJennisonPicsMHInsiderManufacturedHousingInstituteLogo$1MillionTopMHIstaffPayRevealUnpackingEvidencePerjuryFraudOtherPossibleFederalMHProNews
https://www.manufacturedhomepronews.com/over-1-million-manufactured-housing-institute-doc-drop-top-mhi-staff-pay-revealed-additionally-unpacking-evidence-of-perjury-fraud-other-possible-federal-crimes-plus-mhville-stocks-update/

 

PackageMailedtoMHProNewsPublisherDocumentsAllPertaintoLesliGoochNowMHICEO
https://www.manufacturedhomepronews.com/masthead/tipsters-uncontroverted-documentary-evidence-reveals-new-manufactured-housing-institute-ceo-lesli-gooch-controversial-quagmire/ Note that is NOT MHProNews’ current address.

 

WhisleblowersDocumentsOnLesliGoochPhotoCEO-ManufacturedHousingInstituteLogo-NewDiscoveriesManufacturedHomeProNews
https://www.manufacturedhomepronews.com/whistleblowers-documents-on-lesli-gooch-manufactured-housing-institute-ceo-new-discoveries/

 

MHProNews’ Masthead shared insights on the industry’s potential in a report linked below.  But the graphic that follows, with the base image from a prior Skyline Champion’s IR pitch, also suggests that manufactured housing ought to be performing at a far higher level of production.

Note: to expand this image to a larger or full size, see the instructions
below the graphic below or click the image and follow the prompts.

MobileHomeIndustryAnnualProductionHUDCodeManufacturedHomeIndustry20thVs21stCenturyCollapse-ManufacturedHomeProNews
The graphic above starts in the mobile home era in 1960 through the start of the start of the Manufactured Housing era which formally began on June 15, 1976. It then continues through the Manufactured Housing Improvement Act of 2000 (MHIA) of 2000 era, which is essentially manufactured homes in the 21st century. The Manufactured Housing Institue (MHI) and the Manufactured Housing Association for Regulatory Reform IMHARR) teamed up in the late 1990s to get the Manufactured Housing Improvement Act of 2000 (MHIA) enacted into law. It was supposed to, among other factors, give the industry ‘enhanced federal preemption’ to overcome zoning and placement challenges at the local level. What happened to that once joint push by MHARR and MHI? Note: depending on your browser or device, many images in this report can be clicked to expand. For example, in some browsers/devices you click the image and select ‘open in a new window.’ After clicking that selection, you click the image in the open window to expand the image to a larger size. To return to this page, use your back key, escape or follow the prompts. The report the graphic is from is unpacked in the post linked here: https://www.manufacturedhomepronews.com/skyline-champion-sky-ramping-up-3-plants-good-credit-quality-retail-buyers-more-details-from-2023-quarterly-earnings-call-transcript-whats-said-not-said-facts-and-analysis/ Then, a similar dive into Cavco Industries report for a time frame report is linked here. https://www.manufacturedhomepronews.com/analyst-to-cavco-why-is-manufactured-home-industry-production-so-weak-paradox-develops-lower-expectations-more-singles-in-q1-2023-cavco-industrie/ The topic of the importance of history is examined in the report linked below. https://www.manufacturedhomepronews.com/in-the-business-world-the-rear-view-mirror-is-always-clearer-than-the-windshield-warren-buffett-mhville-leader-showcases-efforts-to-renew-american-dream-plus-sunday-weekly/

 

MAMAepicMHVilleNewAssocToutsTrillion$ManufacturedHomeGrowthPlanBoostSale$PayIncludeLegalTeamForSuitsVsSpecificAgenciesIndustryTradeGroupsCorp$MastMHProNews
https://www.manufacturedhomepronews.com/masthead/oh-mama-epic-4-1-2023-mhville-notice-new-assoc-touts-trillion-manufactured-home-growth-plan-boost-sale-pay-include-legal-team-for-suits-vs-specific-agencies-industry-trade-groups/
LaurieHoughEVP+CFOphotoSkylineChampionCorpSKYlogoQuoteSkylineChampionFocusedOnM+AConsolidationTopPriorityManufacturedHomeProNews
Given that some 80 percent of the industry is already consolidated into the hands of the so-called “Big Three” which are part of the group that dominates MHI’s leadership, Hough’s remarks ought to be a red flag to investors and regulators alike. The goal of a corporation is supposed to be to get the best possible return on investment for investors. Yet, both the statement above and the subsequent track record of Skyline Champion reflects a strategy that is arguably frittering away corporate potential for organic growth.

MartyLavinQuotesCollageManufacturedHousingInstituteManufacturedHomeProNews

 

Tremendous upside potential, yet falling profits and results? Where is the “hat trick” that “Project Hat Trick” teased to investors and stakeholders?

MHProNews plans to ask Skyline Champion officials some specific questions. Stay tuned for a special report in the days ahead. ###

“The government wants high-quality low-cost housing and manufactured housing provides that product” Warren Buffett said per Manufactured Housing Institute–Facts-Analysis; plus MHVille Stocks Update

Don’t Just Be a Victim! Sales Guru Anthony Iannarino Explains “How to Beat a Rigged System” Unpacking and Exploring Success Principles, Takeaways and Tactics; plus, MHVille Markets Update

‘Floorplan Crisis’- Manufactured Housing Chattel Finance Battles – Barry McCabe Plug – Manufactured Housing Institute 21st Century Female President and CEO – Gail Cardwell – Industry Update on Financing; plus MHVille Stocks Update

Cavco Industries – Quarterly Earnings for CVCO to 1st Half of 2023 – Compare what William ‘Bill’ Boor told Investors to What Boor told Congress – ‘Months’ B4 MHC Homes; plus MHVille Market Update

Manufactured Housing Obstacles or Opportunities in Disguise? Redfin Study on 7.28.2023 Says Starter Homes up 45% Since Pre-COVID, Millions Priced Out – Sunday Weekly MHVille Headlines in Review

Q2 2023 UMH Properties Inc – ‘National Growth Opportunities via Increased Rents and Vacant Land’ – Inventory and Zoning Battles ~ $2 Bil Market Cap, More Facts and Analysis; plus MHMarkets Update

AmericanPressInstituteLOGOquoteManyKindsJournalismHeartConstitutionalResposibilitiesJournalistsBusMonitorKeepingCheckPeopleInstitutionsInPowerQuoteableQuoteMHProNews
Trade media can and should be a ‘cheer leader’ when it is appropriate to do so. But authentic trade media also holds the powers that be to account. Who says? The American Press Institute.
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Click here to subscribe to the most complete and obviously most read manufactured housing industry news in seconds. Enter your desired email address, press submit, confirm in your inbox. Then You’re All Set for x2 weekly emailed news updates!
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To report a news tip – either ON or OFF the record – click the image above or send an email to iReportMHNewsTips@mhmsm.com – To help us spot your message in our volume of email, please put the words NEWS TIP or COMMENTS in the subject line.

Again, our thanks to free email subscribers and all readers like you, as well as our tipsters/sources, sponsors and God for making and keeping us the runaway number one source for authentic “News through the lens of manufactured homes and factory-built housing” © where “We Provide, You Decide.” © ## (Affordable housing, manufactured homes, reports, fact-checks, analysis, and commentary. Third-party images or content are provided under fair use guidelines for media.) See Related Reports, further below. Text/image boxes often are hot-linked to other reports that can be access by clicking on them.)

CongRepAlGreenDeskTamasKovachLATonyKovachPhoto12.3.2019ManufacturedHomeProNews
Our son has grown quite a bit since this 12.2019 photo. All on Capitol Hill were welcoming and interested in our manufactured housing industry related concerns. But Congressman Al Green’s office was tremendous in their hospitality. Our son’s hand is on a package that included the Constitution of the United States, bottled water, and other goodies.

By L.A. “Tony” Kovach – for MHProNews.com.

Tony earned a journalism scholarship and earned numerous awards in history and in manufactured housing.

For example, he earned the prestigious Lottinville Award in history from the University of Oklahoma, where he studied history and business management. He’s a managing member and co-founder of LifeStyle Factory Homes, LLC, the parent company to MHProNews, and MHLivingNews.com.

This article reflects the LLC’s and/or the writer’s position and may or may not reflect the views of sponsors or supporters.

http://latonykovach.com

Connect on LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/in/latonykovach

 

 

Related References:

The text/image boxes below are linked to other reports, which can be accessed by clicking on them.’

Manufactured Housing’s Rorschach Test – How You See the Facts, Visuals, Narratives and Evidence Speaks Volumes; plus Sunday Weekly Manufactured Home Industry (MHVille) Headlines in Review

Warren Buffett Success Tip ‘Lighter or Darker World Ahead,’ ‘Is Obama’s World a Utopian Myth?’ As 7.4 Approaches Revisiting Buchanan’s Historic Lessons; plus Sunday Weekly MHVille Headlines Recap

Did the Late Sam Zell Overpay? Fresh Equity LifeStyle Properties (ELS), Manufactured Housing Institute New Document Insights – The Truth Hiding in Plain Sight, plus MHVille Stocks, REITs Update

‘Dark Triad’ – Researchers Detect ‘5 Key Characteristics of BILLIONAIRES’ – Evidence how Billionaires, Super Wealthy Think Differently Than Most-Takeaways and Lessons; plus Sunday MHVille Weekly Headlines Recap

‘Go to Independent Sales Lot, Spend a Week There During Busy Season and Report on Reality of the Manufactured Housing Industry its Primary Level;’ Sunday MHVille Weekly Headlines Recap

Name Calling, Evidence, Facts, and Manufactured Housing’s Primary ‘Muckraker’ Shed Light on Manufactured Home Industry Underperformance; plus Sunday Weekly Headlines Recap

Manufactured Home ‘Energy Rule Delayed’–Manufactured Housing Institute Aptly Says ‘More Work to Be Done’–Clayton & Independent Builder Insights, Analysis-plus Sunday Weekly Headlines in Review

Andrew Justus, J.D., Niskanen Center Housing Policy Analyst, Hill Op-Ed Asks and Answers – ‘What’s Holding Back Manufactured Homes?’ Sunday Weekly MHVille Headlines in Review

Warren Buffett Led Berkshire Hathaway has Over $100 Billion Available for Investing, Why That Matters to Manufactured Housing, MHEC Members Know How Gold Rules; plus Sunday Weekly Headlines Recap

 

‘Affordable Homes for Low Income Must Produce in Factory,’ ‘Years to Unravel Sabotage,’ Grad Students Interest in Manufactured Housing, Factory-Home Solutions; plus Sunday Weekly Headlines Recap

MachineHumanSufferingBerkshireClaytonLOGOManufacturedHousingInstRonOlsonLawrenceCunninghamJohnGreinerResponseMTOGWUGraydonLawLogosAllegationsFelonyAbusesKnudsonLawReportStrommen
https://www.manufacturedhomelivingnews.com/machine-of-human-suffering-berkshire-hathaways-clayton-homes-manufactured-housing-institute-attorneys-response-to-allegations-felony-abuses-knudson-law/
NoKingsInAmericaJohnShermanSpeakstoManufacturedHousingDailyBusinessNewsMHProNews-575x302
https://www.manufacturedhomepronews.com/no-kings-in-america-john-sherman-speaks-to-manufactured-housing/
4AttysResearchManufacturedHousingRevealWhyManufacturedHomesUnderperformingDuringAffordableHousingCrisisFactsAnalysisSamStrommenFranQuigleyAndyJustusDanMandelkerMastMHProNews
https://www.manufacturedhomepronews.com/masthead/true-tale-of-four-attorneys-research-into-manufactured-housing-what-they-reveal-about-why-manufactured-homes-are-underperforming-during-an-affordable-housing-crisis-facts-and-analysis/
mas kovach mhpronews shopping with soheyla .jp

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