#1 Manufactured Housing State, Texas Manufactured Home Shipment Market Analysis – May 2020 Data, Plus Official U.S. Labor Data Soar$

Photo is a still from the video posted further below.

By far the largest state in the United States in terms of manufactured home production and shipments is Texas. The first graphic below makes that factual point. While Texas doesn’t always reflect the same trends as national data does, it often does.

The Texas data should be considered in the light of last month’s national data based on data collected for HUD as reported by the Manufactured Housing Association for Regulatory Reform (MHARR) reported below.

To see this full size, click to open.

The Texas Manufactured Housing Association (TMHA) has produced the following report on Wednesday, July 1, 2020 8:35 AM.  National data is pending and will be provided to MHProNews readers after it becomes available. It will be followed by an MHProNews Analysis and Commentary. Note that the TMHA graphics may not be in the same sequence as it appeared in their report.




May manufactured housing shipments moved up slightly over April and the gains were better than the raw totals suggest. With the Memorial holiday and the month starting on a Friday, May had two less production days than April and two less than May of 2019.


The rate of homes shipped per day moved up to 57 homes after bottoming at 52 last month. Part of the run rate increase was due to an expansion in single-section homes shipped and the larger share of the total they represented. The raw total of multi-section shipments moved down from last month.

If we add two additional days of May’s run rate to the total homes shipped and then compare that to last month, May would have been up 10.7%, and the year-over-year decline from May of 2019 would have been -13.5% rather than the -21.3% we see in the raw totals. The short month is pulling the comparisons down and masking some of the improvement from last month.

Looking forward to June, we’re forecasting 1,233 shipments for this past month.


Seasonal trends tend to pull shipments down starting in June, but this year the month will have two additional production days over May and we’re hearing from several member manufacturers that their run rates were picking up, so take the over against the model.

In other positive news, the MHBI finished the month up over May, and from the demand side, the new homes titled per day rate moved up to 75, its highest total since it registered 78 in January to start the year. The title rate was above June of 2019’s 73 homes a day.



I’ve built out a new interactive chart below that gives a better since of where shipments are currently landing compared to past years.

COVID-19 cases have picked up in Texas over the past few weeks, so there is still a lot of uncertainty out there about where our economy is headed.

I hope you all stay safe, stay healthy, and have a great Fourth of July weekend!




The video below is a TMHA flashback video featuring their executive director, D.J. Pendleton, J.D.


June 2020 Jobs Report – Per U.S. Department of Labor Media Release to MHProNews and others.



Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 4.8 million in June, and the unemployment rate

declined to 11.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. These

improvements in the labor market reflected the continued resumption of economic activity

that had been curtailed in March and April due to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic

and efforts to contain it. In June, employment in leisure and hospitality rose sharply.

Notable job gains also occurred in retail trade, education and health services, other

services, manufacturing, and professional and business services.


This news release presents statistics from two monthly surveys. The household survey

measures labor force status, including unemployment, by demographic characteristics.

The establishment survey measures nonfarm employment, hours, and earnings by industry.

For more information about the concepts and statistical methodology used in these two

surveys, see the Technical Note.


Household Survey Data

The unemployment rate declined by 2.2 percentage points to 11.1 percent in June, and

the number of unemployed persons fell by 3.2 million to 17.8 million. Although

unemployment fell in May and June, the jobless rate and the number of unemployed are up

by 7.6 percentage points and 12.0 million, respectively, since February. (See table A-1.

For more information about how the household survey and its measures were affected by

the coronavirus pandemic, see the box note at the end of the news release.)


Among the major worker groups, the unemployment rates declined in June for adult men

(10.2 percent), adult women (11.2 percent), teenagers (23.2 percent), Whites (10.1

percent), Blacks (15.4 percent), and Hispanics (14.5 percent). The jobless rate for

Asians (13.8 percent) changed little over the month. (See tables A-1, A-2, and A-3.)


The number of unemployed persons who were on temporary layoff decreased by 4.8 million

in June to 10.6 million, following a decline of 2.7 million in May. The number of

permanent job losers continued to rise, increasing by 588,000 to 2.9 million in June.

The number of unemployed reentrants to the labor force rose by 711,000 to 2.4 million.

(Reentrants are persons who previously worked but were not in the labor force prior to

beginning their job search.) (See table A-11.)


The number of unemployed persons who were jobless less than 5 weeks declined by 1.0

million to 2.8 million in June. Unemployed persons who were jobless 5 to 14 weeks

numbered 11.5 million, down by 3.3 million over the month, and accounted for 65.2

percent of the unemployed. By contrast, the number of persons jobless 15 to 26 weeks

and the long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more) saw over-the-month

increases (+825,000 to 1.9 million and +227,000 to 1.4 million, respectively). (See

table A-12.)


The labor force participation rate increased by 0.7 percentage point in June to 61.5

percent, but is 1.9 percentage points below its February level. Total employment, as

measured by the household survey, rose by 4.9 million to 142.2 million in June. The

employment-population ratio, at 54.6 percent, rose by 1.8 percentage points over the

month but is 6.5 percentage points lower than in February. (See table A-1.)


In June, the number of persons who usually work full time increased by 2.4 million to

118.9 million, and the number who usually work part time also rose by 2.4 million to

23.2 million. (See table A-9.)


The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons declined by 1.6 million

to 9.1 million in June but is still more than double its February level. These

individuals, who would have preferred full-time employment, were working part time

because their hours had been reduced or they were unable to find full-time jobs. This

group includes persons who usually work full time and persons who usually work part

time. (See table A-8.)


The number of persons not in the labor force who currently want a job, at 8.2 million,

declined by 767,000 in June but remained 3.2 million higher than in February. These

individuals were not counted as unemployed because they were not actively looking for

work during the last 4 weeks or were unavailable to take a job. (See table A-1.)


Persons marginally attached to the labor force–a subset of persons not in the labor

force who currently want a job–numbered 2.5 million in June, little different from the

prior month. These individuals were not in the labor force, wanted and were available

for work, and had looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months but had not looked

for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey. Discouraged workers, a subset of the

marginally attached who believed that no jobs were available for them, numbered 681,000

in June, essentially unchanged from the previous month. (See Summary table A.)


Establishment Survey Data

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 4.8 million in June, following an increase

of 2.7 million in May. These gains reflect a partial resumption of economic activity

that had been curtailed due to the coronavirus pandemic in April and March, when

employment fell by a total of 22.2 million in the 2 months combined. In June, nonfarm

employment was 14.7 million, or 9.6 percent, lower than its February level. Employment

in leisure and hospitality rose sharply in June. Notable job gains also occurred in

retail trade, education and health services, other services, manufacturing, and

professional and business services. Employment continued to decline in mining. (See

table B-1. For more information about how the establishment survey and its measures

were affected by the coronavirus pandemic, see the box note at the end of the news



In June, employment in leisure and hospitality increased by 2.1 million, accounting

for about two-fifths of the gain in total nonfarm employment. Over the month,

employment in food services and drinking places rose by 1.5 million, following a gain

of the same magnitude in May. Despite these gains, employment in food services and

drinking places is down by 3.1 million since February. Employment also rose in June

in amusements, gambling, and recreation (+353,000) and in the accommodation industry



In June, employment in retail trade rose by 740,000, after a gain of 372,000 in May

and losses totaling 2.4 million in March and April combined. On net, employment in the

industry is 1.3 million lower than in February. In June, notable job gains occurred in

clothing and clothing accessories stores (+202,000), general merchandise stores

(+108,000), furniture and home furnishings stores (+84,000), and motor vehicle and

parts dealers (+84,000).


Employment increased by 568,000 in education and health services in June but is 1.8

million below February’s level. Health care employment increased by 358,000 over the

month, with gains in offices of dentists (+190,000), offices of physicians (+80,000),

and offices of other health practitioners (+48,000). Elsewhere in health care, job

losses continued in nursing care facilities (-18,000). Employment increased in the

social assistance industry (+117,000), reflecting gains in child day care services

(+80,000) and in individual and family services (+28,000). Employment in private

education rose by 93,000 over the month.


Employment increased in the other services industry in June (+357,000), with about

three-fourths of the increase occurring in personal and laundry services (+264,000).

Since February, employment in the other services industry is down by 752,000.


In June, manufacturing employment rose by 356,000 but is down by 757,000 since

February. June employment increases were concentrated in the durable goods component,

with motor vehicles and parts (+196,000) accounting for over half of the job gain in

manufacturing. Employment also increased over the month in miscellaneous durable

goods manufacturing (+26,000) and machinery (+18,000). Within the nondurable goods

component, the largest job gain occurred in plastics and rubber products (+22,000).


Professional and business services added 306,000 jobs in June, but employment is 1.8

million below its February level. In June, employment rose in temporary help services

(+149,000), services to buildings and dwellings (+53,000), and accounting and

bookkeeping services (+18,000). By contrast, employment declined in computer systems

design and related services (-20,000).


Construction employment increased by 158,000 in June, following a gain of 453,000 in

May. These gains accounted for more than half of the decline in March and April

(-1.1 million combined). Over-the-month gains occurred in specialty trade contractors

(+135,000), with growth about equally split between the residential and nonresidential

components. Job gains also occurred in construction of buildings (+32,000).


Transportation and warehousing added 99,000 jobs in June, following declines in the

prior 2 months (-588,000 in April and May combined). In June, employment rose in

warehousing and storage (+61,000), couriers and messengers (+21,000), truck

transportation (+8,000), and support activities for transportation (+7,000).


Wholesale trade employment rose by 68,000 in June but is down by 317,000 since

February. In June, job gains occurred in the durable goods (+39,000) and nondurable

goods (+27,000) components.


Financial activities added 32,000 jobs in June, with over half of the gain in real

estate (+18,000). Since February, employment in financial activities is down by



Government employment changed little in June (+33,000), as job gains in local

government education (+70,000) were partially offset by job losses in state government

(-25,000). Government employment is 1.5 million below its February level.


Mining continued to lose jobs in June (-10,000), with most of the decline occurring in

support activities for mining (-7,000). Mining employment is down by 123,000 since a

recent peak in January 2019, although nearly three-fourths of the decline has occurred

since February 2020.


In June, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls fell by

35 cents to $29.37. Average hourly earnings of private-sector production and

nonsupervisory employees decreased by 23 cents to $24.74 in June. The decreases in

average hourly earnings largely reflect job gains among lower-paid workers; these

changes put downward pressure on the average hourly earnings estimates. (See tables

B-3 and B-8.)


The average workweek for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls decreased by 0.2

hour to 34.5 hours in June. In manufacturing, the workweek rose by 0.5 hour to 39.2

hours, and overtime was unchanged at 2.4 hours. The average workweek for production

and nonsupervisory employees on private nonfarm payrolls fell by 0.2 hour to 33.9

hours. The recent employment changes, especially in industries with shorter workweeks,

complicate monthly comparisons of the average weekly hours estimates. (See tables B-2

and B-7.)


The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for April was revised down by 100,000,

from -20.7 million to -20.8 million, and the change for May was revised up by 190,000,

from +2.5 million to +2.7 million. With these revisions, employment in April and May

combined was 90,000 higher than previously reported. (Monthly revisions result from

additional reports received from businesses and government agencies since the last

published estimates and from the recalculation of seasonal factors.)



The Employment Situation for July is scheduled to be released on Friday, August 7, 2020, at 8:30 a.m. (ET). Note the still at the top is from this video report earlier this morning from CNBC.



MHProNews Analysis and Commentary

The sharp jump up on the jobs report is one more piece of good economic news in the wake of the weeks of troubling economic shutdowns that have occurred in the U.S. and much of the world.

The data supplied by the TMHA suggests that the shipments there are recovering from pre-COVID19 economic shutdowns.

That should be compared to the data supplied on mainstream housing which in several respects is doing better, despite the price advantage that manufactured housing enjoys.

“Home Prices May Experience Unsustainable Growth” – AEI Housing Center Director Edward Pinto and Research Director Tobias Peter

AEI and other mainstream housing data reflect the point that there is a large, pent up demand for all housing, but affordable housing in particular.

A look at years of prior shipments makes it clear that manufactured housing is only operating at about 25 percent of the level it was in 1998.


RV industry shipments generally rose while manufactured home shipments are about 75 percent under where it stood in 1998. Both are big ticket items that require financing. Why is manufactured housing more constrained when laws exist that were meant to address that very important need to provide more affordable housing?

That leaves one with the inescapable conclusion that manufactured housing is underperforming by historic and current needs measurements. Given that the RV industry has proven its resilience and ability to grow – and theirs is often a discretionary purchase – that begs the question. Why is manufactured housing underperforming so badly?

See the report linked below for part of that true tale.


To further understand that one must see the reports linked below the byline, offers and notices.

Programming Notice: the new MHProNews email format is now operational, as previously announced and planned. If you haven’t already done so, check your email or sign up in seconds via the link below. No one else in MHVille trade publishing has a larger or more engaged audience, as the publicly undisputed data and fact-checks linked here and here reflect. As an upcoming report will document, our top article in the month of June had an astonishing 1.1 million plus hits; that in an industry of an estimated 75,000 per MHI claims. Beyond industry professionals, federal as well as other public officials, non-profits, investors or others seeking answers and insights on turn to MHProNews daily by the thousands.  Our sincere thanks to readers, sponsors and supporters for your confidence.

Thanks too for those who provide tips and information. Those insider insights are part of what makes this the most-trusted and read resource of its kind in manufactured housing.

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The most-read story in all of manufactured housing for 2020 is among the reports below the byline and notices, in the related and recent reports.

That’s a wrap on this installment of manufactured housing “Industry News, Tips, and Views Pros Can Use” © where “We Provide, You Decide.” © ## (Affordable housing, manufactured homes, reports, fact-checks, analysis, and commentary. Third-party images or content are provided under fair use guidelines for media.) (See Related Reports, further below. Text/image boxes often are hot-linked to other reports that can be access by clicking on them.)

All on Capitol Hill were welcoming and interested with the discussion of manufactured housing related issues on our 12.3.2019 meetings. But Texas Congressman Al Green’s office was tremendous in their hospitality. Our son’s hand is on a package that included the Constitution of the United States and other goodies. MHProNews has worked with people and politicos across the left-right divide.

By L.A. “Tony” Kovach – for MHLivingNews.com.

Tony earned a journalism scholarship and earned numerous awards in history and in manufactured housing. For example, he earned the prestigious Lottinville Award in history from the University of Oklahoma, where he studied history and business management. He’s a managing member and co-founder of LifeStyle Factory Homes, LLC, the parent company to MHProNews, and MHLivingNews.com. This article reflects the LLC’s and/or the writer’s position, and may or may not reflect the views of sponsors or supporters.


Connect on LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/in/latonykovach

Recent and Related Reports:

The text/image boxes below are linked to other reports, which can be accessed by clicking on them.

“We are trained Marxists.” – Black Lives Matter (BLM) co-founder Patrisse Cullors, “Deception and Misdirection” – Capital Research Center

History, Financial Ties-Black Lives Matter, Antifa, Billionaires Warren Buffett, Bill Gates & George Soros–Economic, Political Upheaval Spotlighted by Mary Walter, Tony Kovach on Brian Kilmeade Show

Warren Buffett Declared “Class Warfare,” Buffett Says Fellow Billionaires – “We’re Winning”

Black Lives Matter-Slavery, Racial History, Economic Inequality, Affordable Home Ownership–White Billionaires Getting Richer

The Runaway Top Read Story in 2020 in
Manufactured Housing Trade Media Is Linked Below.

Dark Money-Billionaires Buffett, Gates, Soros Funding Black Lives Matter, Antifa – Named by AG Barr in Riots, Looting – Hijacking Peaceful George Floyd Death Racial Justice Protests

“Change the Battleground,” Eagle vs. Snake Lessons from San Fran’s Christoph Sandoval; plus Sunday Headlines in Review 6.14 to 6.21.2020


Complaints to State and Federal Officials, Agencies About Corrupt Practices in Manufactured Housing Industry Growing

Warren Buffett’s “Moat” per Kevin Clayton, CEO Clayton Homes Interview Transcript, Video – Affordable Housing and Manufactured Homes
https://www.manufacturedhomepronews.com/wolf-in-sheeps-clothing-rinos-dinos-mhinos-classic-head-fakes-gaslighters-turncoats-and-event-201-sunday-headlines-in-review-5-10-to-5-17-2020/ /

Fraud, RICO and Antitrust-Issues of Genius, Honesty, Legality, Competency-Berkshire Hathaway and Manufactured Housing Institute Leadership, Sunday Morning Headlines Review 2.23 to 3.1.2020

The featured image includes several metaphorical items. It can be seductive – but dangerous – to believe certain things. A mask, among other meanings, is used to project a false face, often used by actors. The eye conveys vision or understanding, which that woman and the mask partially obscures. The wall can stand for the harsh reality that sets in when illusion and the hard facts meet. https://www.manufacturedhomepronews.com/masthead/the-party-is-over-so-whats-next/

Dark Money-Billionaires Buffett, Gates, Soros Funding Black Lives Matter, Antifa – Named by AG Barr in Riots, Looting – Hijacking Peaceful George Floyd Death Racial Justice Protests


mas kovach mhpronews shopping with soheyla .jp

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