{"id":9328,"date":"2014-12-05T07:43:00","date_gmt":"2014-12-05T13:43:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/manufacturedhomepronews.com\/masthead\/?p=9328"},"modified":"2014-12-05T16:21:57","modified_gmt":"2014-12-05T22:21:57","slug":"the-mhimpossible-dream","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.manufacturedhomepronews.com\/masthead\/the-mhimpossible-dream\/","title":{"rendered":"The MHImpossible Dream?\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Ever play, &#8220;what if?&#8221; Day dreamed about what it would be like if only&#8230;X&#8230; happened? Win the Lotto? Where 20 years younger (or never got older), better looking, the favorite to a bevy of rich uncles, and so on? \u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p><div id=\"manuf-1762653734\" class=\"manuf-content manuf-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-3870480136270376\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3870480136270376\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"\" \ndata-ad-format=\"auto\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Sure you have. Everyone does on something. \u00a0Let&#8217;s invest a few in an <\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><b>MH <\/b><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><i><b>&#8220;what if&#8230;&#8221;<\/b><\/i><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><b>2017<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">The year is 2017. \u00a0New MH Industry shipments just hit 423,652 new HUD Code Manufactured Homes by year&#8217;s end. New MHs sold by 12-<a href=\"http:\/\/manufacturedhomepronews.com\/masthead\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/rising-home-sales-shutterstock-masthead-blog-mhpronews-.jpg\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-9331\" src=\"http:\/\/manufacturedhomepronews.com\/masthead\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/rising-home-sales-shutterstock-masthead-blog-mhpronews-.jpg\" alt=\"rising-home-sales-shutterstock-masthead-blog-mhpronews-\" width=\"275\" height=\"183\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.manufacturedhomepronews.com\/masthead\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/rising-home-sales-shutterstock-masthead-blog-mhpronews-.jpg 275w, https:\/\/www.manufacturedhomepronews.com\/masthead\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/rising-home-sales-shutterstock-masthead-blog-mhpronews--150x99.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 275px) 100vw, 275px\" \/><\/a>31-17 were 424,243. Modular <\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">production hit 178,016. \u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">3D printing of homes has started, but SAAR start levels were under 5,000, due in part to the resurgence of HUDs and MODs. \u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Single family (SF) site built housing is at over 600,000, but even National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) experts project those numbers will slide down.\u00a0 By mid-2019, an NAHB reports says SF site building is projected to be lower than MH for the first time in history.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">The Multi-Family (MF) craze that heated up in the early teens has peaked and started its new construction decline. Industrialized international builders, such as <\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><span lang=\"zxx\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.manufacturedhomepronews.com\/china-based-international-homebuilder-targets-u-s-with-10000000000-in-projects\/\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"color: #2b6991;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">China-based LandSea<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">, which looked poised to knock out many domestic U.S. companies, we&#8217;re no longer seen that way in the USA, though they continued to grow in other lands.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><b>Tell me More&#8230;<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">By 2017, many new HUDs were homes at or under 858 square feet. 16x60s, 14x56s and other MH-Unisectionals \u00a9 (the new name for &#8220;single wides&#8221;) were a hot ticket. These\u00a0Unisectional \u00a9\u00a0 homes often used concepts found in Ikea store displays or Tiny Houses, so they lived large at a low cost.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">But even hotter were new MH multi-sectionals, including: HUDs placed over basements, ranch style, plus 1 and 2 stories, often with capes and panelized garages. \u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">The<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">&gt; ADUs,<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">&gt; most Tiny Houses,<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">&gt; Park Models,\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">had all been rolled into the HUD Code. \u00a0Some RV firms essentially entered the business of HUD Code production through Park <a href=\"http:\/\/manufacturedhomepronews.com\/masthead\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/manufactured-home-graphic-homeguides-sfgatecredit-posted-masthead-blog-mhpronews-com.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright  wp-image-9332\" src=\"http:\/\/manufacturedhomepronews.com\/masthead\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/manufactured-home-graphic-homeguides-sfgatecredit-posted-masthead-blog-mhpronews-com.jpg\" alt=\"manufactured-home-graphic-homeguides-sfgate=credit-posted-masthead-blog-mhpronews-com\" width=\"311\" height=\"208\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.manufacturedhomepronews.com\/masthead\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/manufactured-home-graphic-homeguides-sfgatecredit-posted-masthead-blog-mhpronews-com.jpg 423w, https:\/\/www.manufacturedhomepronews.com\/masthead\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/manufactured-home-graphic-homeguides-sfgatecredit-posted-masthead-blog-mhpronews-com-150x100.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 311px) 100vw, 311px\" \/><\/a>Models, <\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">while maintaining &#8211; in fact, growing &#8211; there traditional towable and motorized RV sales.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">The NAHB&#8217;s \u00a0Building Systems Council, plus the Modular associations, MHARR and MHI were not united, but had arrived at a series of strategic arrangements. These arrangements made <\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><span lang=\"zxx\"><a href=\"http:\/\/manufacturedhomepronews.com\/masthead\/why-buffett-bets-against-ibisworld-on-manufactured-homes\/\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Chuck Shinn<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"> and others smile.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">The National Association of Realtors (NAR) was involved in roughly 42% of all new MH sales. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">NAR members impact on MH volume was continuing to rise. These sales were done through virtual and other arrangements with independent as well as vertically integrated MH firms. More on those details soon&#8230;<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Land lease communities were growing in numbers in the last 19 months, plus new sites were being developed in recent years. The NIMBY attitude towards new communities in many jurisdictions was now a fading memory&#8230;<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">&#8230;New MHCommunity designers entered the MHC space, creating a combination of environments that were designed for suburban markets, plus urban settings boasting high density communities that still yielded more privacy than MF. These new MHCs were a mix of Coops and private investor owned neighborhoods. Many of the investor owned were REITs, with residents being one of the sizable portion of share holders. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">&#8220;Good neighbor&#8221; MHC polices were rising and dominating. Investors and ROCs were part of a wave of acquisitions of smaller MHCs, previously being largely overlooked, that started in the second quarter of 2015. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><b>But how does this MH &#8220;Impossible Dream&#8221; happen?<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Those are interesting &#8220;what ifs!&#8221; But how could it happen? Is it impossible? Should we not even think about it? How in this &#8220;dream&#8221; did we get from 2014s disappointing levels of under 70,000 shipments to 2017s imagined rocking and rolling era? Just quixotic hope? Intoxication? Psychedelic drugs? <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">In an era of <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">1 trillion dollars a year in U.S. housing spending,<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">affordability at low ebb in many markets,<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">the desire for greener, more energy-saving homes,<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">lower incomes,<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">over 10,000 new retires daily,<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">is a receipe for just such an outcome, given the right plan and execution. Do you remember the heydays in the early 1970s? \u00a0When MH topped 500,000 new homes a year, and President Nixon mentioned mobile homes and communities in a positive way to Congress?<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">All good fiction begins with sound fact-based realities. So the the answer to how the MHImpossible Dream could happen is surprising, not just wishful thinking&#8230;in fact&#8230;practical&#8230;<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">(&#8230;Please tune into part two, planned for the midweek Masthead. \u00a0Until then, please see the new Featured Articles (FA) found on the home page, or our monthly Welcome message\/new <\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #2b6991;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">FA line up at this link here<\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">.) ##<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">(Top image credit: Shutterstock. Bottom, SFGate)<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en-US\" align=\"LEFT\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><span lang=\"\">By <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><span lang=\"zxx\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><span lang=\"\">L. A. \u201cTony\u201d Kovach<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><span lang=\"\">.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-family: Tahoma, sans-serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/manufacturedhomepronews.com\/masthead\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/la-tony-kovach.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-8779\" src=\"http:\/\/manufacturedhomepronews.com\/masthead\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/la-tony-kovach.jpg\" alt=\"la-tony-kovach\" width=\"126\" height=\"127\" \/><\/a>by <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/latonykovach.com\/\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">L. A. &#8216;Tony&#8217; Kovach<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ever play, &#8220;what if?&#8221; Day dreamed about what it would be like if only&#8230;X&#8230; happened? Win the Lotto? Where 20 years younger (or never got older), better looking, the favorite to a bevy of rich uncles, and so on? \u00a0 Sure you have. Everyone does on something. \u00a0Let&#8217;s invest a few in an MH &#8220;what &hellip;<\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more\"> <a class=\"ast-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.manufacturedhomepronews.com\/masthead\/the-mhimpossible-dream\/\"> <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">The MHImpossible Dream?\u00a0<\/span> Read More \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[5073],"tags":[3746,3750,210,1325,1994,7,3745,8,877,3749,531,532,3752,3747,3748,3751,3753],"class_list":["post-9328","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news-analysis","tag-3746","tag-china-based-landsea","tag-housing","tag-hud-code-manufactured-homes","tag-mh","tag-mharr","tag-mhcommunity","tag-mhi","tag-modular","tag-multi-family","tag-nahb","tag-national-association-of-home-builders","tag-park-models","tag-saar","tag-single-family","tag-tiny-houses","tag-rv-sales"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The MHImpossible Dream?\u00a0 - Masthead L. 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